Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Amongst the options at $7K or below this week, Putnam would have to be my choice as the safest bet to find the weekend in Scottsdale. Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Two prop bets WebThe Arnold Palmer Invitational is set to take place this week from March 2-5, 2023, at the Bay Hill Golf Course. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. At the British Open, four of Holliman's picks finished in the top eight, including Dustin Johnson (35-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (35-1). World No. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. At The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. World No. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Riley Hamel. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. Speaking of patterns, how about the prices on Lowry lately? 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. Last weeks PGA TOUR golf sleepers article produced a contender in Ben Martin at longshots odds, and well set out to find more diamonds in the rough again as we shift focus to Phoenix. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. >. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. Honda: Chris Kirk. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Skip to navigation. Skip to main content. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. American Express: Brian Harman. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Who are you taking? Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Comp Course history at other desert courses like TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course, and The Summit Club have proven predictive, as have other risk-reward TPC layouts like TPC Sawgrass and TPC Twin Cities. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. The Twitter handle is a joke. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. RELATED: Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our DFS expert dives deep into Rory McIlroys staggering advanced metrics. Then it just comes down to the putter. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Bet with your head, not over it. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Last weeks champion and new World No. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. American Express: Brian Harman. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! A Fall Swing heaters has continued on into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates The Arnold Palmer Invitational Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. My best sports betting pick of the day for Tuesday (2/14/23) is for the 2023 Genesis Invitational. CrazyTown, USA. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Shipping on most Impact Label products An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. After spending time at FanSided and NBC Sports EDGE, McDonald joined CBS Sports as a golf writer in the spring of 2022. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. (Photo: Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via AP Images). Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Again, Willy Z just brings out his best stuff whenever he has the best in the world around him, so betting him for a Top 10 which he did in 2021 only feels right. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Honda: Sungjae Im. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. , but they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance a pure situational fade for me he. Breach 20 under, and golf betting isnt that easy: OTT and:. The Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook lose strokes putting at Bay Hill course... 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