I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. Eg. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. When comparing Greens and Labor. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. 2. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. . Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. 1. If that happens, they win. Support local journalism. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. But when you distribute the minor preferences, it means Absent votes are actually breaking 31% LIB, 30.2% ALP and 38.8% GRN in 3CP terms. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. GRN 28,657. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. This information is updated hourly. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. Support local journalism. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. I post on my regular Andrea Young Facebook and I frequently post on my localNextdoor.comwebsite. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. Results 1983-2019. Maintaining our business-friendly reputation by voting against any proposals or regulations which could be seen as a hindrance/raised taxes to small businesses and middle-class families. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. Support local journalism. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Tues, 15th November with the Nina Taylor (ALP), Lauren Sherson (Liberal) and Kim Samiotis (Greens). Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. What a fascinating race this has turned into. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. Labor 32.94% 2. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. That is a real possibility if they do well. Melbourne Ports was held by the Australian Labor Party from 1906 until 2019, when it was renamed. The city of more than 28,000. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, Adams said. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. Now we have the Libs ahead of Labor by 137 votes, and the Greens only 208 votes behind, with still the following remaining: Provisionals (always favour Greens) Reports of 1000 Covid votes (both parties expect to favour Greens) Still a total 4648 postals issued but not counted. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. Immediately below is the video of the event. 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